Tokelau

TerritoryPolynesia, Oceania

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Population

2,656

2026 · UN WPPProjection

Life expectancy

77.4 years

2026 · UN WPPProjection

UN WPP 2024 Revision (estimates through 2023; 2024–2100 medium-variant projections). World Bank WDI, 13 July 2026 release. UNDP HDR HDR 2025. UNESCO UIS UIS February 2026. ILOSTAT ILOSTAT December 2025. IMF WEO WEO April 2026. OWID CO₂ OWID CO₂ December 2025.

Overview

Tokelau is territory in Polynesia, Oceania.

Every figure names its source, year, and whether it is an actual value, an estimate, or a projection. Missing values stay missing.

ISO alpha-2: TK
ISO alpha-3: TKL
UN M49: 772
Wikidata: Q36823

People

Population stocks and demographic rates are from the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium variant unless another source is named. Years from 2024 onward are projections.

PopulationProjection: 2,656
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Population (1 July)Projection: 2,691
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Population growth rateProjection: 2.6 percent
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Population densityProjection: 224.3 persons per km²
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Tokelau’s density is above the Polynesia median of 79.4 (9 profiles with 2026 data), and above the median of 90.1 among 195 core profiles with 2026 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Median ageProjection: 27.6 years
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Tokelau’s median age is below the Polynesia median of 29.1 (9 profiles with 2026 data), and below the median of 29.8 among 195 core profiles with 2026 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Population sex ratioProjection: 96.1 males per 100 females
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Total fertility rateProjection: 2.5 live births per woman
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Tokelau’s tfr is above the Polynesia median of 2.4 (9 profiles with 2026 data), and above the median of 2 among 195 core profiles with 2026 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Crude birth rateProjection: 20.5 per 1,000 population
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Net number of migrantsProjection: 43
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Net migration rateProjection: 16.1 per 1,000 population
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium

Population of Tokelau. Solid line: estimates (1950–2023). Dashed line: medium-variant projections (2024–2100). UN WPP, WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium.

Data table

Year	Population	Status
1950	1,614	estimate
1960	1,754	estimate
1970	1,750	estimate
1980	1,665	estimate
1990	1,764	estimate
2000	1,833	estimate
2010	1,581	estimate
2020	2,084	estimate
2030	2,955	projection
2040	3,494	projection
2050	3,810	projection
2060	4,066	projection
2070	4,292	projection
2080	4,414	projection
2090	4,420	projection
2100	4,373	projection
2101	4,367	projection

Development

Human development indices are published only from the latest UNDP HDR series. This build does not invent a substitute index.

Human Development Index: No comparable data
No internationally comparable figure in this build.
Inequality-adjusted Human Development Index: No comparable data
No internationally comparable figure in this build.
Gender Development Index: No comparable data
No internationally comparable figure in this build.
Gender Inequality Index: No comparable data
No internationally comparable figure in this build.
Multidimensional Poverty Index: No comparable data
No internationally comparable figure in this build.

Health and education

Life expectancy and mortality are UN WPP series unless labelled otherwise. Education figures are UNESCO UIS (CC BY-SA, isolated) where a comparable series exists; otherwise they stay missing.

Life expectancy at birthProjection: 77.4 years
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Tokelau’s life expectancy is above the Polynesia median of 73.4 (9 profiles with 2026 data), and above the median of 74.1 among 195 core profiles with 2026 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Crude death rateProjection: 5.6 per 1,000 population
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Life expectancy at birth (male)Projection: 75.3 years
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Tokelau’s life exp. male is above the Polynesia median of 70.5 (9 profiles with 2026 data), and above the median of 70.9 among 195 core profiles with 2026 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Life expectancy at birth (female)Projection: 79.3 years
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Tokelau’s life exp. female is above the Polynesia median of 76.8 (9 profiles with 2026 data), and close to median of 77.4 among 195 core profiles with 2026 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Infant mortality rateProjection: 3.8 per 1,000 live births
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Tokelau’s infant mortality is below the Polynesia median of 8.1 (9 profiles with 2026 data), and below the median of 11.1 among 195 core profiles with 2026 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Under-five mortality rateProjection: 5 per 1,000 live births
2026 · UN WPP · Projection · WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium
Tokelau’s u5mr is below the Polynesia median of 9.9 (9 profiles with 2026 data), and below the median of 12.9 among 195 core profiles with 2026 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Prevalence of undernourishment: No comparable data
No internationally comparable figure in this build.
Adult literacy rate: 100%
2022 · UNESCO UIS · Actual · UIS Bulk Data Download Service (February 2026)
Tokelau’s adult literacy is close to Polynesia median of 100% (3 profiles with 2022 data), and above the median of 79.5% among 25 core profiles with 2022 data. Unweighted medians of the same-year cohort; not a population-weighted world average.
Youth literacy rate: 100%
2022 · UNESCO UIS · Actual · UIS Bulk Data Download Service (February 2026)
Mean years of schooling: No comparable data
No internationally comparable figure in this build.
School life expectancy: No comparable data
No internationally comparable figure in this build.

Life expectancy at birth in Tokelau. Dashed line marks medium-variant projections. UN WPP, WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium.

Data table

Year	Years	Status
1950	54.7	estimate
1960	58.6	estimate
1970	62.3	estimate
1980	65.2	estimate
1990	69.4	estimate
2000	72.2	estimate
2010	74.5	estimate
2020	76.6	estimate
2030	77.9	projection
2040	79.2	projection
2050	80.5	projection
2060	81.8	projection
2070	83.1	projection
2080	84.3	projection
2090	85.4	projection
2100	86.5	projection

Geography

Region: Oceania
Subregion: Polynesia

Silhouette not available for this entity.

Government

Classification is descriptive and is not a recognition of legal claims.Map and status policy.

Status: Territory
Publication tier: Additional profile
Related ISO alpha-3: NZL

Sources

United Nations World Population Prospects

WPP2024 Demographic Indicators Medium. Vintage 2024 Revision. CC BY 3.0 IGO. Retrieved 2026-09-03. Source file.

Population (2026, projection; series TPopulation1Jan)
Life expectancy at birth (2026, projection; series LEx)
Population (1 July) (2026, projection; series TPopulation1July)
Population growth rate (2026, projection; series PopGrowthRate)
Population density (2026, projection; series PopDensity)
Median age (2026, projection; series MedianAgePop)
Population sex ratio (2026, projection; series PopSexRatio)
Total fertility rate (2026, projection; series TFR)
Crude birth rate (2026, projection; series CBR)
Crude death rate (2026, projection; series CDR)
Life expectancy at birth (male) (2026, projection; series LExMale)
Life expectancy at birth (female) (2026, projection; series LExFemale)
Infant mortality rate (2026, projection; series IMR)
Under-five mortality rate (2026, projection; series Q5)
Net number of migrants (2026, projection; series NetMigrations)
Net migration rate (2026, projection; series CNMR)

UNESCO Institute for Statistics

UIS Bulk Data Download Service (February 2026). Vintage UIS February 2026. CC BY-SA 3.0 IGO. Retrieved 2026-09-03. Source file.

Adult literacy rate (2022, actual; series LR.AG15T99)
Youth literacy rate (2022, actual; series LR.AG15T24)

Names, classifications, and boundaries are for statistical and cartographic use and do not constitute recognition of legal claims.